The Great Barrington Declaration

By Foss Tighe Once again Herd Immunity is in the news. This time in the form of a declaration facilitated by a Libertarian think tank: American Institutes for Economic Research (AIER). The Great Barrington Declaration suggests that governments essentially follow the Swedish approach to the Coronavirus. Protective measures should be put into place for theContinue reading “The Great Barrington Declaration”

Florida: The Experiment we need

By: Foss Tighe On September 25, Gov. Ron DeSantis announced that all remaining coronavirus restrictions in the State of Florida would be lifted. This could be the natural experiment that the people of the United States need to see. What happens when the government removes all restrictions designed to limit the spread of the virus.Continue reading “Florida: The Experiment we need”

Herd Immunity is not an Individual Decision

By Foss Tighe In an number of prior posts I have discussed how Herd Immunity could be a valid public health strategy for dealing with COVID-19. In a recent post I outline how limited herd immunity combined with other outbreak mitigation strategies could work together to slow and reverse the pandemic. I also explore theContinue reading “Herd Immunity is not an Individual Decision”

Herd Immunity Assisted Pandemic Control

By Foss Tighe Since the start of the pandemic, there have been numerous articles about how Herd Immunity is a pipe dream and that it plays no rational role in the management of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, I believe that in countries like the United States, Brazil and Mexico, where attempts to control the virusContinue reading “Herd Immunity Assisted Pandemic Control”

When it comes to re-opening we are on a limited “Budget”

Re-opening across the United States has been an exercise in irrational optimism about the infectiousness of COVID-19. COVID-19 remains a highly infectious virus capable of expontial growth, it is just as infectious as it was 6 months ago. Early in the outbreak in New York State both new infections and deaths were doubling every 3Continue reading “When it comes to re-opening we are on a limited “Budget””

The Orange Death: COVID-19 Resurgance in the United States

By Foss Tighe In mid April the Trump administration shifted policy away from their limited efforts at controlling COVID-19 to re-opening the U.S. Economy. Daily detected cases in the US had plateaued at around 30,000 cases per day. Deaths in the United States had also plateaued at around 2000 per day. Perhaps more importantly, dailyContinue reading “The Orange Death: COVID-19 Resurgance in the United States”

Asking Schools to do what Nation Could Not

By Foss Tighe The United States is in the middle on an intense controversy over opening schools in the fall. There are many aspects of this debate. It has taken on strong partisan overtones, with Trump and his supporters forcefully pushing for a re-opening of schools. This is likely driven by the strong desire toContinue reading “Asking Schools to do what Nation Could Not”

Are We Betting too Heavily on a Vaccine?

There are three approaches to dealing with the Coronavirus. Crush the outbreak through testing, isolation and contact tracing Try to achieve herd immunity by letting the virus spread while protecting vulnerable populations Pursue neither of the above and wait for a vaccine Crush the Outbreak The first option is hard. It requires a well coordinatedContinue reading “Are We Betting too Heavily on a Vaccine?”

Why Pandemic “Waves”?

By Foss Tighe There is a lot of talk about a possible “Second Wave” of coronavirus infections. Why do infectious disease outbreaks come in “waves”? If infections reach some sort of peak and then begin to decline, isn’t that a sign that the outbreak is ending? The major pandemics recorded in history books appear toContinue reading “Why Pandemic “Waves”?”

Lack of a coherent plan endangers social fabric

30 million Americans have applied for unemployment Each day 2,000 Americans die of COVID-19 Which fact scares you more? Which one deserves the more urgent attention? Are their solutions mutually exclusive? Does our Government have a plan? Flattening the Curve is no longer a sufficient plan Flattening the Curve was never a complete plan forContinue reading “Lack of a coherent plan endangers social fabric”

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