Design a site like this with WordPress.com
Get started

Herd Immunity is not an Individual Decision

By Foss Tighe In an number of prior posts I have discussed how Herd Immunity could be a valid public health strategy for dealing with COVID-19. In a recent post I outline how limited herd immunity combined with other outbreak mitigation strategies could work together to slow and reverse the pandemic. I also explore theContinue reading “Herd Immunity is not an Individual Decision”

Advertisement

Are We Betting too Heavily on a Vaccine?

There are three approaches to dealing with the Coronavirus. Crush the outbreak through testing, isolation and contact tracing Try to achieve herd immunity by letting the virus spread while protecting vulnerable populations Pursue neither of the above and wait for a vaccine Crush the Outbreak The first option is hard. It requires a well coordinatedContinue reading “Are We Betting too Heavily on a Vaccine?”

Why Pandemic “Waves”?

By Foss Tighe There is a lot of talk about a possible “Second Wave” of coronavirus infections. Why do infectious disease outbreaks come in “waves”? If infections reach some sort of peak and then begin to decline, isn’t that a sign that the outbreak is ending? The major pandemics recorded in history books appear toContinue reading “Why Pandemic “Waves”?”

Lack of a coherent plan endangers social fabric

30 million Americans have applied for unemployment Each day 2,000 Americans die of COVID-19 Which fact scares you more? Which one deserves the more urgent attention? Are their solutions mutually exclusive? Does our Government have a plan? Flattening the Curve is no longer a sufficient plan Flattening the Curve was never a complete plan forContinue reading “Lack of a coherent plan endangers social fabric”

Not a Peak, more of a Ridge Walk

By: Foss Tighe May 2, 2020 The first blog post on this site talked about what the other side of the curve might look like. It speculated that the other side of the curve would look nothing like the first side of the curve. Most of the models being used, including IHME at the UniversityContinue reading “Not a Peak, more of a Ridge Walk”