How Many Infections in Your State?

A recent post on how many Americans have been infected discusses the issues relating to estimating the true number of infections in the United States. The post outlines a relatively simply method of using the estimated Infection Fatality Rate to extrapolate the number of infections. Updated 11/23/2020 State Deaths Population Infected* Percent* Alabama 3,459 4,903,185Continue reading “How Many Infections in Your State?”

Trump’s Inaugural gift to Biden

There may be a strange silver lining to Trump’s complete abandonment of all efforts to mitigate the raging conronavirus outbreak in the United States. It is possible that within a few weeks of President Elect taking office, the combination of increasing daily infections and the first 40 or so million vaccinations, the United States mayContinue reading “Trump’s Inaugural gift to Biden”

How many Americans have been infected?

It seems like a pretty simple question. But the answer is not so simple. Just like my earlier post on Case Fatality Rates, an accurate figure is made much more complicated by the high rate of mild and asymptomatic cases of the Coronavirus that often go undetected. So what are some of the ways weContinue reading “How many Americans have been infected?”

Scary Numbers

It continues to astound me that this country is incapable of acting in response to clear and urgent signs of danger. It does not require advanced degrees in infectious disease to realize that the rapidly climbing infections in the United States starting in early October could lead to bad things. Lets start with the relationshipContinue reading “Scary Numbers”

Case Fatality Rate – What does it tell us?

By Foss Tighe During the last presidential debate, to counter Biden’s criticism of the President’s handling of the Coronavirus pandemic, President Trump referred to declines in the US Case Fatality Rate (CFR). For months now, Trump has be bragging about the decline in the CFR. What exactly is a Case Fatality Rate, what is theContinue reading “Case Fatality Rate – What does it tell us?”

Herd Immunity Assisted Pandemic Control

By Foss Tighe Since the start of the pandemic, there have been numerous articles about how Herd Immunity is a pipe dream and that it plays no rational role in the management of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, I believe that in countries like the United States, Brazil and Mexico, where attempts to control the virusContinue reading “Herd Immunity Assisted Pandemic Control”

Lack of a coherent plan endangers social fabric

30 million Americans have applied for unemployment Each day 2,000 Americans die of COVID-19 Which fact scares you more? Which one deserves the more urgent attention? Are their solutions mutually exclusive? Does our Government have a plan? Flattening the Curve is no longer a sufficient plan Flattening the Curve was never a complete plan forContinue reading “Lack of a coherent plan endangers social fabric”

Lets Try Containment Again

By: Foss TigheApril 27, 2020 Biden would jump to the left,And Trump thinks he is right.With No hands on your lipsStrap your mask on tight.But its the nasal swabThat really drives you insane.Lets try Containment again!Lets try Containment again!Sung to the tune of “Lets do the time warp again” In Epidemiological terms, containment is theContinue reading “Lets Try Containment Again”

Finally Some Epidemiological Science

New York State’s recent study regarding statewide infection rates provided more epidemiological science than all of the Federal government’s contribution since the start of the pandemic. On April 23rd Governor Cuomo announced preliminary results of an antibody study designed to estimate the true number of people who have been infected with the coronavirus in NewContinue reading “Finally Some Epidemiological Science”

Massachusetts Numbers – Fewer Deaths on Sundays

A quick glance at the Massachusetts daily coronavirus deaths might lead you to think that church services are somehow protective against coronavirus. For the last three Sundays in Massachusetts the daily death count has been substantially lower than the surrounding days. Data collection is a tricky thing, and to stick with the religious theme, oftenContinue reading “Massachusetts Numbers – Fewer Deaths on Sundays”

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