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The Risks in Failing to Control Cases

No one is talking about the SARS-2 variant from New Zealand! Nor does the Taiwanese variant ever appear in the news! That is because the chances of a new and dangerous variant developing is directly proportional to the number of cases in a given area. Every time the virus replicates itself there is a reallyContinue reading “The Risks in Failing to Control Cases”

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Case Fatality Rate – What does it tell us?

By Foss Tighe During the last presidential debate, to counter Biden’s criticism of the President’s handling of the Coronavirus pandemic, President Trump referred to declines in the US Case Fatality Rate (CFR). For months now, Trump has be bragging about the decline in the CFR. What exactly is a Case Fatality Rate, what is theContinue reading “Case Fatality Rate – What does it tell us?”

The Great Barrington Declaration

By Foss Tighe Once again Herd Immunity is in the news. This time in the form of a declaration facilitated by a Libertarian think tank: American Institutes for Economic Research (AIER). The Great Barrington Declaration suggests that governments essentially follow the Swedish approach to the Coronavirus. Protective measures should be put into place for theContinue reading “The Great Barrington Declaration”

When it comes to re-opening we are on a limited “Budget”

Re-opening across the United States has been an exercise in irrational optimism about the infectiousness of COVID-19. COVID-19 remains a highly infectious virus capable of expontial growth, it is just as infectious as it was 6 months ago. Early in the outbreak in New York State both new infections and deaths were doubling every 3Continue reading “When it comes to re-opening we are on a limited “Budget””

The Orange Death: COVID-19 Resurgance in the United States

By Foss Tighe In mid April the Trump administration shifted policy away from their limited efforts at controlling COVID-19 to re-opening the U.S. Economy. Daily detected cases in the US had plateaued at around 30,000 cases per day. Deaths in the United States had also plateaued at around 2000 per day. Perhaps more importantly, dailyContinue reading “The Orange Death: COVID-19 Resurgance in the United States”

Are We Betting too Heavily on a Vaccine?

There are three approaches to dealing with the Coronavirus. Crush the outbreak through testing, isolation and contact tracing Try to achieve herd immunity by letting the virus spread while protecting vulnerable populations Pursue neither of the above and wait for a vaccine Crush the Outbreak The first option is hard. It requires a well coordinatedContinue reading “Are We Betting too Heavily on a Vaccine?”

Ode to the CDC

By: Foss TigheApril 28, 2020 It was probably during the Ebola outbreak in 2000 or 2002 when I remember hearing news reports that “epidemiologists from the Center for Disease Control in Atlanta Georgia were heading to Africa to help fight the Ebola virus…”. My heart swelled with pride and my spine tingled. Founding in theContinue reading “Ode to the CDC”

Lets Try Containment Again

By: Foss TigheApril 27, 2020 Biden would jump to the left,And Trump thinks he is right.With No hands on your lipsStrap your mask on tight.But its the nasal swabThat really drives you insane.Lets try Containment again!Lets try Containment again!Sung to the tune of “Lets do the time warp again” In Epidemiological terms, containment is theContinue reading “Lets Try Containment Again”

What does Containment Look Like? This is what Containment Looks like!

There is a place where the bars and restaurants are still open. Their news shows do not focus on the impending evil thing called “the surge”. They don’t watch ghoulish images of their fellow citizens in body bags over flowing their storage facilities. There is a place where the government is not digging mass graves.Continue reading “What does Containment Look Like? This is what Containment Looks like!”