Playing Russian Roulette with Cases

Every time the Corona Virus replicates there is a very small chance that a mutation will occur. Each time a mutation does occur there is a very small chance that the mutation will result in a variant of the virus that is more dangerous to humans. Several “variants of concern” (VOC) have arisen that haveContinue reading “Playing Russian Roulette with Cases”

Vaccine Waning Immunity – Israeli Data

There is has been a great deal of interest in data coming out of Israel regarding possible rapidly waning immunity of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine. This news, combined with the bad news surrounding the virus delta variant represents very discouraging news. Some have concluded that the data from Israel’s health ministry indicate that the vaccineContinue reading “Vaccine Waning Immunity – Israeli Data”

Ask not what your vaccine can do for you…

In a nation which enshrines the “pursuit of life, liberty and happiness” in its founding document it comes as no surprise that Americans approach many things from the “what’s in it for me” perspective. For many Americans that includes how they think about COVID-19 vaccinations. For many it comes down to a personal risk benefitContinue reading “Ask not what your vaccine can do for you…”

The Risks in Failing to Control Cases

No one is talking about the SARS-2 variant from New Zealand! Nor does the Taiwanese variant ever appear in the news! That is because the chances of a new and dangerous variant developing is directly proportional to the number of cases in a given area. Every time the virus replicates itself there is a reallyContinue reading “The Risks in Failing to Control Cases”

Trump’s Inaugural gift to Biden

There may be a strange silver lining to Trump’s complete abandonment of all efforts to mitigate the raging conronavirus outbreak in the United States. It is possible that within a few weeks of President Elect taking office, the combination of increasing daily infections and the first 40 or so million vaccinations, the United States mayContinue reading “Trump’s Inaugural gift to Biden”

The Great Barrington Declaration

By Foss Tighe Once again Herd Immunity is in the news. This time in the form of a declaration facilitated by a Libertarian think tank: American Institutes for Economic Research (AIER). The Great Barrington Declaration suggests that governments essentially follow the Swedish approach to the Coronavirus. Protective measures should be put into place for theContinue reading “The Great Barrington Declaration”

Herd Immunity is not an Individual Decision

By Foss Tighe In an number of prior posts I have discussed how Herd Immunity could be a valid public health strategy for dealing with COVID-19. In a recent post I outline how limited herd immunity combined with other outbreak mitigation strategies could work together to slow and reverse the pandemic. I also explore theContinue reading “Herd Immunity is not an Individual Decision”

Herd Immunity Assisted Pandemic Control

By Foss Tighe Since the start of the pandemic, there have been numerous articles about how Herd Immunity is a pipe dream and that it plays no rational role in the management of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, I believe that in countries like the United States, Brazil and Mexico, where attempts to control the virusContinue reading “Herd Immunity Assisted Pandemic Control”

When it comes to re-opening we are on a limited “Budget”

Re-opening across the United States has been an exercise in irrational optimism about the infectiousness of COVID-19. COVID-19 remains a highly infectious virus capable of expontial growth, it is just as infectious as it was 6 months ago. Early in the outbreak in New York State both new infections and deaths were doubling every 3Continue reading “When it comes to re-opening we are on a limited “Budget””

Are We Betting too Heavily on a Vaccine?

There are three approaches to dealing with the Coronavirus. Crush the outbreak through testing, isolation and contact tracing Try to achieve herd immunity by letting the virus spread while protecting vulnerable populations Pursue neither of the above and wait for a vaccine Crush the Outbreak The first option is hard. It requires a well coordinatedContinue reading “Are We Betting too Heavily on a Vaccine?”

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